Water availability, degree days, and the potential impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California

Wolfram Schlenker; W. Michael Hanemann; Anthony C. Fisher

doi:10.1007/s10584-005-9008-z

Water availability, degree days, and the potential impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California

Wolfram Schlenker, W. Michael Hanemann, Anthony C. Fisher

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

148 Scopus citations

Abstract

We use the geo-referenced June Agricultural Survey of the U.S. Department of Agriculture to match values of individual farms in California with a measure of water availability as mediated through irrigation districts, and degree days, a nonlinear transformation of temperature, controlling for other influences on value such as soil quality, to examine the potential effects of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California. Water availability strongly capitalizes into farmland values. The predicted decrease in water availability in the latest climate change scenarios downscaled to California can therefore be expected to have a significant negative impact on the value of farmland.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	19-38
Number of pages	20
Journal	Climatic Change
Volume	81
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-005-9008-z
State	Published - Mar 2007
Externally published	Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Global and Planetary Change
Atmospheric Science

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title = "Water availability, degree days, and the potential impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California",

abstract = "We use the geo-referenced June Agricultural Survey of the U.S. Department of Agriculture to match values of individual farms in California with a measure of water availability as mediated through irrigation districts, and degree days, a nonlinear transformation of temperature, controlling for other influences on value such as soil quality, to examine the potential effects of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California. Water availability strongly capitalizes into farmland values. The predicted decrease in water availability in the latest climate change scenarios downscaled to California can therefore be expected to have a significant negative impact on the value of farmland.",

author = "Wolfram Schlenker and Hanemann, {W. Michael} and Fisher, {Anthony C.}",

note = "Funding Information: We gratefully acknowledge helpful comments from Vince Breneman, Shawn Bucholz, Jim Burt, Larry Dale, Michael Greenstone, and Hugo Hidalgo. Larry Dale, Sydny Fujita and Dev Millsteing played a crucial role in developing the California water data used here. This research was supported by the California Energy Commission Award # 500-02-004 to the California Climate Change Center at UC Berkeley; financial support was also received from the Institute for Global Conflict and Cooperation.",

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AU - Fisher, Anthony C.

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AB - We use the geo-referenced June Agricultural Survey of the U.S. Department of Agriculture to match values of individual farms in California with a measure of water availability as mediated through irrigation districts, and degree days, a nonlinear transformation of temperature, controlling for other influences on value such as soil quality, to examine the potential effects of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California. Water availability strongly capitalizes into farmland values. The predicted decrease in water availability in the latest climate change scenarios downscaled to California can therefore be expected to have a significant negative impact on the value of farmland.

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Water availability, degree days, and the potential impact of climate change on irrigated agriculture in California

Abstract

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