Two centuries of settlement and urban development in the United States

Stefan Leyk, Stefan Leyk, Stefan Leyk, Johannes H. Uhl, Johannes H. Uhl, Dylan S. Connor, Anna E. Braswell, Anna E. Braswell, Nathan Mietkiewicz, Nathan Mietkiewicz, Jennifer K. Balch, Jennifer K. Balch, Jennifer K. Balch, Myron Gutmann, Myron Gutmann

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Over the past 200 years, the population of the United States grew more than 40-fold. The resulting development of the built environment has had a profound impact on the regional economic, demographic, and environmental structure of North America. Unfortunately, constraints on data availability limit opportunities to study long-term development patterns and how population growth relates to land-use change. Using hundreds of millions of property records, we undertake the finest-resolution analysis to date, in space and time, of urbanization patterns from 1810 to 2015. Temporally consistent metrics reveal distinct long-term urban development patterns characterizing processes such as settlement expansion and densification at fine granularity. Furthermore, we demonstrate that these settlement measures are robust proxies for population throughout the record and thus potential surrogates for estimating population changes at fine scales. These new insights and data vastly expand opportunities to study land use, population change, and urbanization over the past two centuries.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numberEABA2937
JournalScience Advances
Volume6
Issue number23
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2020

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

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    Leyk, S., Leyk, S., Leyk, S., Uhl, J. H., Uhl, J. H., Connor, D. S., Braswell, A. E., Braswell, A. E., Mietkiewicz, N., Mietkiewicz, N., Balch, J. K., Balch, J. K., Balch, J. K., Gutmann, M., & Gutmann, M. (2020). Two centuries of settlement and urban development in the United States. Science Advances, 6(23), [EABA2937]. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2937