TY - JOUR
T1 - Fertility Following an Unintended First Birth
AU - Guzzo, Karen Benjamin
AU - Hayford, Sarah
PY - 2011/11
Y1 - 2011/11
N2 - Research on unintended fertility tends to focus on births as isolated events. This article expands previous research by examining the relationship between early unintended childbearing and subsequent fertility dynamics in the United States. Data from the 2002 National Survey of Family Growth show that 27.5% of mothers report an unintended first birth. We use event history methods to show that these women are significantly more likely than women with an intended first birth to have an unintended second birth than to have either no second birth or an intended second birth, net of sociodemographic characteristics. An unintended first birth also increases the risk of having an unintended third birth relative to no birth or an intended birth, independent of the intendedness of the second birth. We conclude that early unintended fertility is a strong signal of high risk for subsequent unintended fertility.
AB - Research on unintended fertility tends to focus on births as isolated events. This article expands previous research by examining the relationship between early unintended childbearing and subsequent fertility dynamics in the United States. Data from the 2002 National Survey of Family Growth show that 27.5% of mothers report an unintended first birth. We use event history methods to show that these women are significantly more likely than women with an intended first birth to have an unintended second birth than to have either no second birth or an intended second birth, net of sociodemographic characteristics. An unintended first birth also increases the risk of having an unintended third birth relative to no birth or an intended birth, independent of the intendedness of the second birth. We conclude that early unintended fertility is a strong signal of high risk for subsequent unintended fertility.
KW - Higher-parity births
KW - Unintended fertility
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=82355171396&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=82355171396&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s13524-011-0059-7
DO - 10.1007/s13524-011-0059-7
M3 - Article
C2 - 21842326
AN - SCOPUS:82355171396
SN - 0070-3370
VL - 48
SP - 1493
EP - 1516
JO - Demography
JF - Demography
IS - 4
ER -