Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of middle east respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case

H. Nishiura, Y. Miyamatsu, G. Chowell, M. Saitoh

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

27 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

To guide risk assessment, expected numbers of cases and generations were estimated, assuming a case importation of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). Our analysis of 36 importation events yielded the risk of observing secondary transmission events at 22.7% (95% confidence interval: 19.3–25.1). The risks of observing generations 2, 3 and 4 were estimated at 10.5%, 6.1% and 3.9%, respectively. Countries at risk should be ready for highly variable outcomes following an importation of MERS.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)6-11
Number of pages6
JournalEurosurveillance
Volume20
Issue number27
StatePublished - Jul 9 2015
Externally publishedYes

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Coronavirus Infections
Confidence Intervals

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
  • Virology

Cite this

Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of middle east respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case. / Nishiura, H.; Miyamatsu, Y.; Chowell, G.; Saitoh, M.

In: Eurosurveillance, Vol. 20, No. 27, 09.07.2015, p. 6-11.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Nishiura, H. ; Miyamatsu, Y. ; Chowell, G. ; Saitoh, M. / Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of middle east respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case. In: Eurosurveillance. 2015 ; Vol. 20, No. 27. pp. 6-11.
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