Abstract

We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of travel restriction (cordons sanitaires), mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that strict restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationMathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
Pages123-145
Number of pages23
ISBN (Electronic)9783319404134
ISBN (Print)9783319404110
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2016

Fingerprint

Control Strategy
Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever
Restriction
Theoretical Models
Virus
Patch
Infection
Mathematical Model
Population
Evaluate
Movement
Simulation
Community

Keywords

  • Ebola
  • Epidemic model
  • Patch model
  • Spatial model
  • Transmission dynamics

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Mathematics(all)
  • Medicine(all)

Cite this

Espinoza, B., Moreno, V., Bichara, D., & Castillo-Chavez, C. (2016). Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola. In Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases (pp. 123-145). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9

Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola. / Espinoza, Baltazar; Moreno, Victor; Bichara, Derdei; Castillo-Chavez, Carlos.

Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Springer International Publishing, 2016. p. 123-145.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Espinoza, B, Moreno, V, Bichara, D & Castillo-Chavez, C 2016, Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola. in Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Springer International Publishing, pp. 123-145. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9
Espinoza B, Moreno V, Bichara D, Castillo-Chavez C. Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola. In Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Springer International Publishing. 2016. p. 123-145 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9
Espinoza, Baltazar ; Moreno, Victor ; Bichara, Derdei ; Castillo-Chavez, Carlos. / Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola. Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases. Springer International Publishing, 2016. pp. 123-145
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