Assessing the efficiency of movement restriction as a control strategy of ebola

Baltazar Espinoza, Victor Moreno, Derdei Bichara, Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

9 Scopus citations

Abstract

We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of travel restriction (cordons sanitaires), mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that strict restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationMathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
Pages123-145
Number of pages23
ISBN (Electronic)9783319404134
ISBN (Print)9783319404110
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2016

Keywords

  • Ebola
  • Epidemic model
  • Patch model
  • Spatial model
  • Transmission dynamics

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Mathematics
  • General Medicine

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