TY - JOUR
T1 - Validation of seasonal mean radiant temperature simulations in hot arid urban climates
AU - Crank, Peter J.
AU - Middel, Ariane
AU - Wagner, Melissa
AU - Hoots, Dani
AU - Smith, Martin
AU - Brazel, Anthony
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Authors
PY - 2020/12/20
Y1 - 2020/12/20
N2 - We validated seasonal RayMan and ENVI-met mean radiant temperature (TMRT) simulations to assess model performance in a sensitivity analysis from cold to extremely hot conditions. Human-biometeorological validation data were collected in Tempe, Arizona via transects during five field campaigns between 2014 and 2017. Transects were conducted across seven locations in two to three-hour intervals from 6:00 to 23:00 LST with a Kestrel meter and thermal camera (2014–2015) and the mobile instrument platform MaRTy (2017). Observations across diverse urban forms, sky view factors, and seasons covered a wide range of solar radiation regimes from a minimum TMRT of 8.7 °C to a maximum of 84.9 °C. Both models produced large simulation errors across regimes with RMSE ranging from 8 °C to 12 °C (RayMan) and 11.2 °C to 16.1 °C (ENVI-met), exceeding a suggested TMRT accuracy of ±5 °C for heat stress studies. RayMan model errors were largest for engineered enclosed spaces, complex urban forms, and extreme heat conditions. ENVI-met was unable to resolve intra-domain spatial variability of TMRT and exhibited large errors with RMSE up to 25.5 °C for engineered shade. Both models failed to accurately simulate TMRT for hot conditions. Errors varied seasonally with overestimated TMRT in the summer and underestimated TMRT in the winter and shoulder seasons. Results demonstrate that models should not be used under micrometeorological or morphological extremes without in-situ validation to quantify errors and assess directional bias due to model limitations.
AB - We validated seasonal RayMan and ENVI-met mean radiant temperature (TMRT) simulations to assess model performance in a sensitivity analysis from cold to extremely hot conditions. Human-biometeorological validation data were collected in Tempe, Arizona via transects during five field campaigns between 2014 and 2017. Transects were conducted across seven locations in two to three-hour intervals from 6:00 to 23:00 LST with a Kestrel meter and thermal camera (2014–2015) and the mobile instrument platform MaRTy (2017). Observations across diverse urban forms, sky view factors, and seasons covered a wide range of solar radiation regimes from a minimum TMRT of 8.7 °C to a maximum of 84.9 °C. Both models produced large simulation errors across regimes with RMSE ranging from 8 °C to 12 °C (RayMan) and 11.2 °C to 16.1 °C (ENVI-met), exceeding a suggested TMRT accuracy of ±5 °C for heat stress studies. RayMan model errors were largest for engineered enclosed spaces, complex urban forms, and extreme heat conditions. ENVI-met was unable to resolve intra-domain spatial variability of TMRT and exhibited large errors with RMSE up to 25.5 °C for engineered shade. Both models failed to accurately simulate TMRT for hot conditions. Errors varied seasonally with overestimated TMRT in the summer and underestimated TMRT in the winter and shoulder seasons. Results demonstrate that models should not be used under micrometeorological or morphological extremes without in-situ validation to quantify errors and assess directional bias due to model limitations.
KW - ENVI-met
KW - Hot urban environments
KW - Mean radiant temperature model validation
KW - RayMan
KW - Seasonal sensitivity analysis
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U2 - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141392
DO - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141392
M3 - Article
C2 - 32841854
AN - SCOPUS:85089600829
SN - 0048-9697
VL - 749
JO - Science of the Total Environment
JF - Science of the Total Environment
M1 - 141392
ER -