Use of complex adaptive systems for modeling global change

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20 Scopus citations

Abstract

Global modeling has been used for decades to assess the possible futures of humanity and the global environment. However, these models do not always satisfactorily include the adaptive characteristics of systems. In this article, a general approach is used to simulate change and transition at a macrolevel due to adaptation at a microlevel. Tools from complex adaptive systems research are used to simulate the microlevel and consequently determine parameter values of the equation-based macrolevel model. Two case studies that applied this approach are reviewed. The first study assessed the efficacy of efforts to control malaria, whereas the second study used an integrated model to construct climate change scenarios by using various possible views on the nature of the climate system.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)457-463
Number of pages7
JournalEcosystems
Volume1
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 1998
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Adaptation
  • Climate change
  • Coevolution
  • Complex adaptive systems
  • Genetic algorithms
  • Global change
  • Malaria
  • Multiagent modeling

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
  • Environmental Chemistry
  • Ecology

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