Unmeasured investment and the puzzling us boom in the 1990s

Ellen R. McGrattan, Edward Prescott

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

44 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

For the 1990s, the basic neoclassical growth model predicts a depressed economy, when in fact the US economy boomed. We extend the base model by introducing intangible investment and non-neutral technology change with respect to producing intangible investment goods and find that the 1990s are not puzzling in light of this new theory. There is microeconomic and macroeconomic evidence motivating our extension, and the theory's predictions are in conformity with US national accounts and capital gains. We compare accounting measures with corresponding measures for our model economy and find that standard accounting measures greatly understate the 1990s boom. (JEL E22, E23, O33, O47).

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)88-123
Number of pages36
JournalAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Volume2
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 1 2010

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Intangibles
Prediction
Conformity
Capital gains
National accounts
Microeconomics
Neoclassical growth model
Technology change
Accounting standards
Macroeconomics
US economy

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)

Cite this

Unmeasured investment and the puzzling us boom in the 1990s. / McGrattan, Ellen R.; Prescott, Edward.

In: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 2, No. 4, 01.11.2010, p. 88-123.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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