The world’s biggest gamble

Johan Rockström, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Brian Hoskins, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Peter Schlosser, Guy Pierre Brasseur, Owen Gaffney, Carlos Nobre, Malte Meinshausen, Joeri Rogelj, Wolfgang Lucht

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

36 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emissions reductions within 40 years and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example, waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity’s remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)465-470
Number of pages6
JournalEarth's Future
Volume4
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 1 2016
Externally publishedYes

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carbon sink
greenhouse gas
fossil
carbon
ocean
world
policy
economy
emission reduction
prosperity
public

Keywords

  • carbon budget
  • carbon roadmap
  • climate change
  • decarbonisation
  • Earth system
  • Paris Agreement

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Environmental Science(all)

Cite this

Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H. J., Hoskins, B., Ramanathan, V., Schlosser, P., Brasseur, G. P., ... Lucht, W. (2016). The world’s biggest gamble. Earth's Future, 4(10), 465-470. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000392

The world’s biggest gamble. / Rockström, Johan; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim; Hoskins, Brian; Ramanathan, Veerabhadran; Schlosser, Peter; Brasseur, Guy Pierre; Gaffney, Owen; Nobre, Carlos; Meinshausen, Malte; Rogelj, Joeri; Lucht, Wolfgang.

In: Earth's Future, Vol. 4, No. 10, 01.10.2016, p. 465-470.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

Rockström, J, Schellnhuber, HJ, Hoskins, B, Ramanathan, V, Schlosser, P, Brasseur, GP, Gaffney, O, Nobre, C, Meinshausen, M, Rogelj, J & Lucht, W 2016, 'The world’s biggest gamble', Earth's Future, vol. 4, no. 10, pp. 465-470. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000392
Rockström J, Schellnhuber HJ, Hoskins B, Ramanathan V, Schlosser P, Brasseur GP et al. The world’s biggest gamble. Earth's Future. 2016 Oct 1;4(10):465-470. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000392
Rockström, Johan ; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim ; Hoskins, Brian ; Ramanathan, Veerabhadran ; Schlosser, Peter ; Brasseur, Guy Pierre ; Gaffney, Owen ; Nobre, Carlos ; Meinshausen, Malte ; Rogelj, Joeri ; Lucht, Wolfgang. / The world’s biggest gamble. In: Earth's Future. 2016 ; Vol. 4, No. 10. pp. 465-470.
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