The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

In an epidemic of a serious disease, there is likely to be behavioral response that decreases the epidemic size considerably, and taking this into account may lead to estimates of the final epidemic size that are much smaller and more realistic than estimates that do not take this into account.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalBulletin of Mathematical Biology
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - Jan 1 2018
Externally publishedYes

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behavioral response
Estimate
Likely
Decrease

Keywords

  • Behavioral response
  • Epidemic models
  • Final size relations

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Neuroscience(all)
  • Immunology
  • Mathematics(all)
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Pharmacology
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Computational Theory and Mathematics

Cite this

The Final Size of a Serious Epidemic. / Brauer, Fred.

In: Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 01.01.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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