Abstract

The 2001 UK foot and mouth disease (FMD) epidemic marked a change in global FMD management, focusing less on trade isolation than on biosecurity within countries where FMD is endemic. Post 2001 policy calls for the isolation of disease-free zones in FMD-endemic countries, while increasing the opportunities for trade. The impact of the change on disease risk has yet to be tested. In this paper, we estimate an empirical model of disease risk that tests for the impact of trade volumes before and after 2001, controlling for biosecurity measures. In the pre 2001 regime, we find that poor biosecurity was associated with the probability of reporting an outbreak. In the post 2001 regime, the risks changed, with trade being a much greater source of risk. We discuss the trade-off between trade restrictions and biosecurity measures in the management of FMD disease risks.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
JournalEcoHealth
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - Feb 27 2018

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foot and mouth disease
Foot-and-Mouth Disease
Disease Management
trade-off
Disease Outbreaks
animal trade
effect

Keywords

  • Foot and mouth disease
  • International trade
  • Risk

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology
  • Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis

Cite this

The Effect of the Post 2001 Reforms on FMD Risks of the International Live Animal Trade. / Shanafelt, David W.; Perrings, Charles.

In: EcoHealth, 27.02.2018, p. 1-11.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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