System-of-systems perspective and exploratory modeling to support the design of adaptive policy for reducing carbon emission

Buyung Agusdinata, Lars Dittmar

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Reducing carbon emissions is needed to tackle climate change. However, despite the large uncertainties surrounding the issue, most policy design processes employ a predict-then-act approach. This paper applies a System-of-Systems perspective and exploratory modeling method to support the design of an adaptive policy. Using a case in the Dutch residential sector, we use the SoS perspective as a way to decompose the policy issue into interdependent relevant policy systems. This representation of the policy system provides a framework to test a large number of hypotheses about the evolution of the system's behavior by way of computational experiments, which form the core of the exploratory modeling method. As some of the system uncertainties are resolved, policies are adapted so that policy goals can still be met. In particular, in a situation in which the realized emission level misses the target, a new set of conditions can be identified to bring the level back to the intended target.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publication2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE
DOIs
StatePublished - 2007
Externally publishedYes
Event2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE - San Antonio, TX, United States
Duration: Apr 16 2007Apr 18 2007

Other

Other2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE
CountryUnited States
CitySan Antonio, TX
Period4/16/074/18/07

Fingerprint

Carbon
Climate change
Experiments
Uncertainty
System of systems

Keywords

  • Adaptive policy
  • Carbon emissions
  • Exploratory modeling method
  • System-of-system perspective

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering

Cite this

System-of-systems perspective and exploratory modeling to support the design of adaptive policy for reducing carbon emission. / Agusdinata, Buyung; Dittmar, Lars.

2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE. 2007. 4304222.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Agusdinata, B & Dittmar, L 2007, System-of-systems perspective and exploratory modeling to support the design of adaptive policy for reducing carbon emission. in 2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE., 4304222, 2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE, San Antonio, TX, United States, 4/16/07. https://doi.org/10.1109/SYSOSE.2007.4304222
Agusdinata, Buyung ; Dittmar, Lars. / System-of-systems perspective and exploratory modeling to support the design of adaptive policy for reducing carbon emission. 2007 IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, SOSE. 2007.
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