Abstract

Urban transportation systems are vulnerable to congestion, accidents, weather, special events, and other costly delays. Whereas typical policy responses prioritize reduction of delays under normal conditions to improve the efficiency of urban road systems, analytic support for investments that improve resilience (defined as system recovery from additional disruptions) is still scarce. In this effort, we represent paved roads as a transportation network by mapping intersections to nodes and road segments between the intersections to links. We built road networks for 40 of the urban areas defined by the U.S. Census Bureau. We developed and calibrated a model to evaluate traffic delays using link loads. The loads may be regarded as traffic-based centrality measures, estimating the number of individuals using corresponding road segments. Efficiency was estimated as the average annual delay per peakperiod auto commuter, and modeled results were found to be close to observed data, with the notable exception of New York City. Resilience was estimated as the change in efficiency resulting from roadway disruptions and was found to vary between cities, with increased delays due to a 5% random loss of road linkages ranging from 9.5% in Los Angeles to 56.0% in San Francisco. The results demonstrate that many urban road systems that operate inefficiently under normal conditions are nevertheless resilient to disruption, whereas some more efficient cities are more fragile. The implication is that resilience, not just efficiency, should be considered explicitly in roadway project selection and justify investment opportunities related to disaster and other disruptions.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article numbere1701079
JournalScience advances
Volume3
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2017

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San Francisco
Los Angeles
Weather
Anniversaries and Special Events
Disasters
Censuses
Accidents

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Medicine(all)

Cite this

Ganin, A. A., Kitsak, M., Marchese, D., Keisler, J. M., Seager, T., & Linkov, I. (2017). Resilience and efficiency in transportation networks. Science advances, 3(12), [e1701079]. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1701079

Resilience and efficiency in transportation networks. / Ganin, Alexander A.; Kitsak, Maksim; Marchese, Dayton; Keisler, Jeffrey M.; Seager, Thomas; Linkov, Igor.

In: Science advances, Vol. 3, No. 12, e1701079, 01.12.2017.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Ganin, AA, Kitsak, M, Marchese, D, Keisler, JM, Seager, T & Linkov, I 2017, 'Resilience and efficiency in transportation networks', Science advances, vol. 3, no. 12, e1701079. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1701079
Ganin AA, Kitsak M, Marchese D, Keisler JM, Seager T, Linkov I. Resilience and efficiency in transportation networks. Science advances. 2017 Dec 1;3(12). e1701079. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1701079
Ganin, Alexander A. ; Kitsak, Maksim ; Marchese, Dayton ; Keisler, Jeffrey M. ; Seager, Thomas ; Linkov, Igor. / Resilience and efficiency in transportation networks. In: Science advances. 2017 ; Vol. 3, No. 12.
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