Reducing bias and uncertainty in multievaluator multicriterion decision making

Mounir El Asmar, Wafik Boulos Lotfallah, Wei Yin Loh, Awad S. Hanna

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Many decisions are based on more than one criterion, judged by more than a single evaluator. Multievaluator multicriterion (MEMC) decision making can be controversial if bias or uncertainty find their way into the final decision. In fact, both public and private organizations have recently faced challenges when making decisions. In a previous study, the authors of this paper developed a multievaluator decision making model that reduces the effect of possible uncertainty resulting from an evaluator's insufficient expertise in a particular criterion. This paper builds on the previous model by also correcting for any possible evaluator favoritism or bias. It presents a more comprehensive mathematical model that supports MEMC decisions and protects decision makers and their agencies from potential criticism. Testing of the model shows that it performs better than the simple averaging method on 100% of the simulations.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)167-176
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of Computing in Civil Engineering
Volume27
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2013

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Decision making
Mathematical models
Testing
Uncertainty

Keywords

  • Bias
  • Contractor selection
  • Decision making
  • Evaluation
  • Mathematical model
  • Simulation
  • Uncertainty

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science Applications
  • Civil and Structural Engineering

Cite this

Reducing bias and uncertainty in multievaluator multicriterion decision making. / El Asmar, Mounir; Lotfallah, Wafik Boulos; Loh, Wei Yin; Hanna, Awad S.

In: Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering, Vol. 27, No. 2, 01.03.2013, p. 167-176.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

El Asmar, Mounir ; Lotfallah, Wafik Boulos ; Loh, Wei Yin ; Hanna, Awad S. / Reducing bias and uncertainty in multievaluator multicriterion decision making. In: Journal of Computing in Civil Engineering. 2013 ; Vol. 27, No. 2. pp. 167-176.
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