Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures

Daniel Burillo, Mikhail Chester, Benjamin Ruddell

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationInternational Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017
Subtitle of host publicationMethodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Pages293-302
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9780784481196
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2017
Event2017 International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure: Methodology, ICSI 2017 - New York, United States
Duration: Oct 26 2017Oct 28 2017

Other

Other2017 International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure: Methodology, ICSI 2017
CountryUnited States
CityNew York
Period10/26/1710/28/17

Fingerprint

Planning
Electricity
Air
Urban planning
Natural resources
Air conditioning
Temperature
Power generation
Economics
Power system
Hot Temperature
Economic resources
Electricity demand
Resources
Trade-offs
Structural equation modeling
Social resources
Electricity generation
Importer
Nonstationarity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Management of Technology and Innovation
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

Cite this

Burillo, D., Chester, M., & Ruddell, B. (2017). Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures. In International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017 (pp. 293-302). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784481196.026

Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures. / Burillo, Daniel; Chester, Mikhail; Ruddell, Benjamin.

International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2017. p. 293-302.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Burillo, D, Chester, M & Ruddell, B 2017, Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures. in International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), pp. 293-302, 2017 International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure: Methodology, ICSI 2017, New York, United States, 10/26/17. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784481196.026
Burillo D, Chester M, Ruddell B. Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures. In International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). 2017. p. 293-302 https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784481196.026
Burillo, Daniel ; Chester, Mikhail ; Ruddell, Benjamin. / Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures. International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017: Methodology - Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2017. pp. 293-302
@inproceedings{e67e147875724059b18feb7f90e3e79a,
title = "Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures",
abstract = "Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.",
author = "Daniel Burillo and Mikhail Chester and Benjamin Ruddell",
year = "2017",
month = "1",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1061/9780784481196.026",
language = "English (US)",
pages = "293--302",
booktitle = "International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017",
publisher = "American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)",
address = "United States",

}

TY - GEN

T1 - Power system planning and operation across multiple coincident non-stationary temperature futures

AU - Burillo, Daniel

AU - Chester, Mikhail

AU - Ruddell, Benjamin

PY - 2017/1/1

Y1 - 2017/1/1

N2 - Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.

AB - Power system planning and operations are significantly affected by the air temperature patterns within a geographic region. Climate non-stationarity, including more severe heat waves, thus presents new challenges for maintaining reliable infrastructure operations. This is especially risky in the U.S. Southwest because the region heavily uses electric air conditioning and thermal power generation technologies - who's electrical performance varies with air temperature. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) techniques, we considered how unprecedented high air temperatures could result in insufficient electricity generation resources to meet peak electricity demand for Phoenix (exporter) and Los Angeles (importer) regions. If the two regions reach 44-58°C (111-136°F) at the same time, then they could experience a net power deficit. Since significant population growth is expected in both regions, different urban planning approaches are discussed for proactive governance to maintain reliable power infrastructure considering trade-offs in economic, social, and natural resources for different stakeholder groups.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85035236812&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85035236812&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1061/9780784481196.026

DO - 10.1061/9780784481196.026

M3 - Conference contribution

SP - 293

EP - 302

BT - International Conference on Sustainable Infrastructure 2017

PB - American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)

ER -