Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy

Patrick H. Finan, Eric E. Hessler, Polemnia Amazeen, Jonathan Butner, Alex J. Zautra, Howard Tennen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Dynamical systems modeling was used to analyze fluctuations in the pain prediction process of people with rheumatoid arthritis. 170 people diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis completed 29 consecutive days of diaries. Difference scores between pain predictions and next-day pain experience ratings provided a time series of pain prediction accuracy. Pain prediction accuracy oscillated over time. The oscillation amplitude was larger at the start of the diary than at the end, which indicates damping toward more accurate predictions. State-level psychological characteristics moderated the damping pattern such that the oscillations for patients with lower negative affect and higher pain control damped more quickly than the oscillations for their counterparts. Those findings suggest that low negative affect and high pain control generally contributed to a more accurate pain prediction process in the chronically ill. Positive affect did not differentiate the damping pattern but, within each oscillation cycle, patients with higher positive affect spent more time making inaccurate predictions than their counterparts. The current analyses highlight the need to account for change in data through dynamical modeling, which cannot be fully observed through traditional statistical techniques.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)27-46
Number of pages20
JournalNonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences
Volume14
Issue number1
StatePublished - Jan 2010

Fingerprint

Pain
Oscillation
Prediction
Damping
Rheumatoid Arthritis
Inaccurate
Differentiate
Time series
System Modeling
Damped
Dynamical systems
Consecutive
Dynamical system
Fluctuations
Cycle
Modeling

Keywords

  • Damped oscillator
  • Negative affect
  • Pain control
  • Pain prediction
  • Positive affect

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Applied Mathematics

Cite this

Finan, P. H., Hessler, E. E., Amazeen, P., Butner, J., Zautra, A. J., & Tennen, H. (2010). Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy. Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, 14(1), 27-46.

Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy. / Finan, Patrick H.; Hessler, Eric E.; Amazeen, Polemnia; Butner, Jonathan; Zautra, Alex J.; Tennen, Howard.

In: Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, Vol. 14, No. 1, 01.2010, p. 27-46.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Finan, PH, Hessler, EE, Amazeen, P, Butner, J, Zautra, AJ & Tennen, H 2010, 'Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy', Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 27-46.
Finan PH, Hessler EE, Amazeen P, Butner J, Zautra AJ, Tennen H. Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy. Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences. 2010 Jan;14(1):27-46.
Finan, Patrick H. ; Hessler, Eric E. ; Amazeen, Polemnia ; Butner, Jonathan ; Zautra, Alex J. ; Tennen, Howard. / Oscillations in daily pain prediction accuracy. In: Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences. 2010 ; Vol. 14, No. 1. pp. 27-46.
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