Abstract

Urban adaptation to climate change is likely to emerge from the responses of residents, authorities, and infrastructure providers to the impact of flooding, water scarcity, and other climate-related hazards. These responses are, in part, modulated by political relationships under cultural norms that dominate the institutional and collective decisions of public and private actors. The legacy of these decisions, which are often associated with investment in hard and soft infrastructure, has lasting consequences that influence current and future vulnerabilities. Making those decisions visible, and tractable is, therefore, an urgent research and political challenge in vulnerability assessments. In this work, we present a modeling framework to explore scenarios of institutional decision-making and socio-political processes and the resultant effects on spatial patterns of vulnerability. The approach entails using multi-criteria decision analysis, agent-based models, and geographic information simulation. The approach allows for the exploration of uncertainties, spatial patterns, thresholds, and the sensitivities of vulnerability outcomes to different policy scenarios. Here, we present the operationalization of the framework through an intentionally simplified model example of the governance of water in Mexico City. We discuss results from this example as part of a larger effort to empirically implement the framework to explore sociohydrological risk patterns and trade-offs of vulnerability in real urban landscapes.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)407-417
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of Environmental Management
Volume241
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 1 2019

Fingerprint

environmental risk
vulnerability
Decision making
decision making
infrastructure
Feedback
Decision theory
Climate change
Water
Hazards
decision analysis
political process
flooding
analysis
hazard
water
climate change
climate
modeling
simulation

Keywords

  • Adaptation
  • Agent-based model
  • Climate change
  • Flooding
  • Governance
  • Multi-criteria
  • Multi-scale
  • Protests
  • Water scarcity

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Waste Management and Disposal
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this

@article{14c3bc50cf504b4c954eefa9f6770faa,
title = "Operationalizing the feedback between institutional decision-making, socio-political infrastructure, and environmental risk in urban vulnerability analysis",
abstract = "Urban adaptation to climate change is likely to emerge from the responses of residents, authorities, and infrastructure providers to the impact of flooding, water scarcity, and other climate-related hazards. These responses are, in part, modulated by political relationships under cultural norms that dominate the institutional and collective decisions of public and private actors. The legacy of these decisions, which are often associated with investment in hard and soft infrastructure, has lasting consequences that influence current and future vulnerabilities. Making those decisions visible, and tractable is, therefore, an urgent research and political challenge in vulnerability assessments. In this work, we present a modeling framework to explore scenarios of institutional decision-making and socio-political processes and the resultant effects on spatial patterns of vulnerability. The approach entails using multi-criteria decision analysis, agent-based models, and geographic information simulation. The approach allows for the exploration of uncertainties, spatial patterns, thresholds, and the sensitivities of vulnerability outcomes to different policy scenarios. Here, we present the operationalization of the framework through an intentionally simplified model example of the governance of water in Mexico City. We discuss results from this example as part of a larger effort to empirically implement the framework to explore sociohydrological risk patterns and trade-offs of vulnerability in real urban landscapes.",
keywords = "Adaptation, Agent-based model, Climate change, Flooding, Governance, Multi-criteria, Multi-scale, Protests, Water scarcity",
author = "Andres Baeza-Castro and Bojorquez-Tapia, {Luis A.} and Marcus Janssen and Hallie Eakin",
year = "2019",
month = "7",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.03.138",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "241",
pages = "407--417",
journal = "Journal of Environmental Management",
issn = "0301-4797",
publisher = "Academic Press Inc.",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Operationalizing the feedback between institutional decision-making, socio-political infrastructure, and environmental risk in urban vulnerability analysis

AU - Baeza-Castro, Andres

AU - Bojorquez-Tapia, Luis A.

AU - Janssen, Marcus

AU - Eakin, Hallie

PY - 2019/7/1

Y1 - 2019/7/1

N2 - Urban adaptation to climate change is likely to emerge from the responses of residents, authorities, and infrastructure providers to the impact of flooding, water scarcity, and other climate-related hazards. These responses are, in part, modulated by political relationships under cultural norms that dominate the institutional and collective decisions of public and private actors. The legacy of these decisions, which are often associated with investment in hard and soft infrastructure, has lasting consequences that influence current and future vulnerabilities. Making those decisions visible, and tractable is, therefore, an urgent research and political challenge in vulnerability assessments. In this work, we present a modeling framework to explore scenarios of institutional decision-making and socio-political processes and the resultant effects on spatial patterns of vulnerability. The approach entails using multi-criteria decision analysis, agent-based models, and geographic information simulation. The approach allows for the exploration of uncertainties, spatial patterns, thresholds, and the sensitivities of vulnerability outcomes to different policy scenarios. Here, we present the operationalization of the framework through an intentionally simplified model example of the governance of water in Mexico City. We discuss results from this example as part of a larger effort to empirically implement the framework to explore sociohydrological risk patterns and trade-offs of vulnerability in real urban landscapes.

AB - Urban adaptation to climate change is likely to emerge from the responses of residents, authorities, and infrastructure providers to the impact of flooding, water scarcity, and other climate-related hazards. These responses are, in part, modulated by political relationships under cultural norms that dominate the institutional and collective decisions of public and private actors. The legacy of these decisions, which are often associated with investment in hard and soft infrastructure, has lasting consequences that influence current and future vulnerabilities. Making those decisions visible, and tractable is, therefore, an urgent research and political challenge in vulnerability assessments. In this work, we present a modeling framework to explore scenarios of institutional decision-making and socio-political processes and the resultant effects on spatial patterns of vulnerability. The approach entails using multi-criteria decision analysis, agent-based models, and geographic information simulation. The approach allows for the exploration of uncertainties, spatial patterns, thresholds, and the sensitivities of vulnerability outcomes to different policy scenarios. Here, we present the operationalization of the framework through an intentionally simplified model example of the governance of water in Mexico City. We discuss results from this example as part of a larger effort to empirically implement the framework to explore sociohydrological risk patterns and trade-offs of vulnerability in real urban landscapes.

KW - Adaptation

KW - Agent-based model

KW - Climate change

KW - Flooding

KW - Governance

KW - Multi-criteria

KW - Multi-scale

KW - Protests

KW - Water scarcity

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85064965233&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85064965233&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.03.138

DO - 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.03.138

M3 - Article

C2 - 31030122

AN - SCOPUS:85064965233

VL - 241

SP - 407

EP - 417

JO - Journal of Environmental Management

JF - Journal of Environmental Management

SN - 0301-4797

ER -