On the future of technological forecasting

Vary Coates, Mahmud Farooque, Richard Klavans, Koty Lapid, Harold A. Linstone, Carl Pistorius, Alan L. Porter

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

139 Scopus citations

Abstract

Technological forecasting is now poised to respond to the emerging needs of private and public sector organizations in the highly competitive global environment. The history of the subject and its variant forms, including impact assessment, national foresight studies, roadmapping, and competitive technological intelligence, shows how it has responded to changing institutional motivations. Renewed focus on innovation, attention to science-based opportunities, and broad social and political factors will bring renewed attention to technological forecasting in industry, government, and academia. Promising new tools are anticipated, borrowing variously from fields such as political science, computer science, scientometrics, innovation management, and complexity science.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1-17
Number of pages17
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume67
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - May 1 2001
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Business and International Management
  • Applied Psychology
  • Management of Technology and Innovation

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    Coates, V., Farooque, M., Klavans, R., Lapid, K., Linstone, H. A., Pistorius, C., & Porter, A. L. (2001). On the future of technological forecasting. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 67(1), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(00)00122-0