Negotiating Plausibility: Intervening in the Future of Nanotechnology

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

36 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The national-level scenarios project NanoFutures focuses on the social, political, economic, and ethical implications of nanotechnology, and is initiated by the Center for Nanotechnology in Society at Arizona State University (CNS-ASU). The project involves novel methods for the development of plausible visions of nanotechnology-enabled futures, elucidates public preferences for various alternatives, and, using such preferences, helps refine future visions for research and outreach. In doing so, the NanoFutures project aims to address a central question: how to deliberate the social implications of an emergent technology whose outcomes are not known. The solution pursued by the NanoFutures project is twofold. First, NanoFutures limits speculation about the technology to plausible visions. This ambition introduces a host of concerns about the limits of prediction, the nature of plausibility, and how to establish plausibility. Second, it subjects these visions to democratic assessment by a range of stakeholders, thus raising methodological questions as to who are relevant stakeholders and how to activate different communities so as to engage the far future. This article makes the dilemmas posed by decisions about such methodological issues transparent and therefore articulates the role of plausibility in anticipatory governance.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)723-737
Number of pages15
JournalScience and Engineering Ethics
Volume17
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2011

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Nanotechnology
nanotechnology
Negotiating
Technology
stakeholder
Speculation
Governance
Dilemma
speculation
Economics
governance
scenario
Research
Scenarios
Vision
Prediction
Alternatives
Range of data
community
economics

Keywords

  • Deliberation
  • Foresight
  • Plausibility
  • Social implications of nanotechnology

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Health(social science)
  • Issues, ethics and legal aspects
  • Management of Technology and Innovation
  • Health Policy

Cite this

Negotiating Plausibility : Intervening in the Future of Nanotechnology. / Selin, Cynthia.

In: Science and Engineering Ethics, Vol. 17, No. 4, 12.2011, p. 723-737.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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