Making local futures tangible-Synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building

Alison Shaw, Stephen Sheppard, Sarah Burch, David Flanders, Arnim Wiek, Jeff Carmichael, John Robinson, Stewart Cohen

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    200 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    Local in its causes and global in its impacts, climate change still poses an unresolved challenge for scientists, politicians, entrepreneurs, and citizens. Climate change research is largely global in focus, aims at enhanced understanding, and is driven by experts, all of which seem to be insufficient to anchor climate change action in regional and local contexts. We present results from a participatory scenario study conducted in collaboration with the municipality of Delta in SW British Columbia, Canada. This study applies a participatory capacity building approach for climate change action at the local level where the sources of emissions and the mechanisms of adaptation reside and where climate change is meaningful to decision-makers and stakeholders alike. The multi-scale scenario approach consists of synthesizing global climate change scenarios, downscaling them to the regional and local level, and finally visualizing alternative climate scenarios out to 2100 in 3D views of familiar, local places. We critically discuss the scenarios produced and the strengths and weaknesses of the approach applied.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)447-463
    Number of pages17
    JournalGlobal Environmental Change
    Volume19
    Issue number4
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Oct 2009

    Keywords

    • Climate change communication
    • Decision support
    • Global to local downscaling
    • Local climate change impacts and responses
    • Participatory scenario development
    • Visualization

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Global and Planetary Change
    • Geography, Planning and Development
    • Ecology
    • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

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