Making local futures tangible-Synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building

Alison Shaw, Stephen Sheppard, Sarah Burch, David Flanders, Arnim Wiek, Jeff Carmichael, John Robinson, Stewart Cohen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

185 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Local in its causes and global in its impacts, climate change still poses an unresolved challenge for scientists, politicians, entrepreneurs, and citizens. Climate change research is largely global in focus, aims at enhanced understanding, and is driven by experts, all of which seem to be insufficient to anchor climate change action in regional and local contexts. We present results from a participatory scenario study conducted in collaboration with the municipality of Delta in SW British Columbia, Canada. This study applies a participatory capacity building approach for climate change action at the local level where the sources of emissions and the mechanisms of adaptation reside and where climate change is meaningful to decision-makers and stakeholders alike. The multi-scale scenario approach consists of synthesizing global climate change scenarios, downscaling them to the regional and local level, and finally visualizing alternative climate scenarios out to 2100 in 3D views of familiar, local places. We critically discuss the scenarios produced and the strengths and weaknesses of the approach applied.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)447-463
Number of pages17
JournalGlobal Environmental Change
Volume19
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 2009

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capacity building
downscaling
climate change
scenario
entrepreneur
anchor
municipality
politician
global climate
decision maker
stakeholder
climate
Canada
expert
citizen
cause

Keywords

  • Climate change communication
  • Decision support
  • Global to local downscaling
  • Local climate change impacts and responses
  • Participatory scenario development
  • Visualization

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Global and Planetary Change

Cite this

Making local futures tangible-Synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building. / Shaw, Alison; Sheppard, Stephen; Burch, Sarah; Flanders, David; Wiek, Arnim; Carmichael, Jeff; Robinson, John; Cohen, Stewart.

In: Global Environmental Change, Vol. 19, No. 4, 10.2009, p. 447-463.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Shaw, Alison ; Sheppard, Stephen ; Burch, Sarah ; Flanders, David ; Wiek, Arnim ; Carmichael, Jeff ; Robinson, John ; Cohen, Stewart. / Making local futures tangible-Synthesizing, downscaling, and visualizing climate change scenarios for participatory capacity building. In: Global Environmental Change. 2009 ; Vol. 19, No. 4. pp. 447-463.
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