Long-term consequences of short-term precipitation shocks: Evidence from Brazilian migrant households

Valerie A. Mueller, Daniel E. Osgood

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

We find that large short-term precipitation shocks damage the long-term income of households that have permanently migrated from rural to urban areas. This outcome is consistent with the behavior of credit-constrained rural households who are willing to accept lower long-term income in urban areas following the depletion of their productive assets during an adverse shock. Our empirical evidence suggests that there may be a link between large precipitation shocks in rural areas and urban poverty. Further exploration is warranted on the mechanisms by which natural disasters cause these long-term losses.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)573-586
Number of pages14
JournalAgricultural Economics
Volume40
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 1 2009
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Agriculture
  • Climate
  • Household income
  • Migrants
  • Shocks

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Agronomy and Crop Science
  • Economics and Econometrics

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