Issue a boil-water advisory or wait for definitive information? A decision analysis.

Michael M. Wagner; Garrick L. Wallstrom; Agnieszka Onisko

Issue a boil-water advisory or wait for definitive information? A decision analysis.

Michael M. Wagner, Garrick L. Wallstrom, Agnieszka Onisko

Arizona State University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Study the decision to issue a boil-water advisory in response to a spike in sales of diarrhea remedies or wait 72 hours for the results of definitive testing of water and people. METHODS: Decision analysis. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the optimal decision is test-and-wait. If the cost of issuing a boil-water advisory is less than 13.92 cents per person per day, the optimal decision is to issue the boil-water advisory immediately. CONCLUSIONS: Decisions based on surveillance data that are suggestive but not conclusive about the existence of a disease outbreak can be modeled.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	774-778
Number of pages	5
Journal	AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings / AMIA Symposium. AMIA Symposium
State	Published - 2005

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Medicine(all)

Cite this

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title = "Issue a boil-water advisory or wait for definitive information? A decision analysis.",

abstract = "OBJECTIVE: Study the decision to issue a boil-water advisory in response to a spike in sales of diarrhea remedies or wait 72 hours for the results of definitive testing of water and people. METHODS: Decision analysis. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the optimal decision is test-and-wait. If the cost of issuing a boil-water advisory is less than 13.92 cents per person per day, the optimal decision is to issue the boil-water advisory immediately. CONCLUSIONS: Decisions based on surveillance data that are suggestive but not conclusive about the existence of a disease outbreak can be modeled.",

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AU - Wagner, Michael M.

AU - Wallstrom, Garrick L.

AU - Onisko, Agnieszka

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N2 - OBJECTIVE: Study the decision to issue a boil-water advisory in response to a spike in sales of diarrhea remedies or wait 72 hours for the results of definitive testing of water and people. METHODS: Decision analysis. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the optimal decision is test-and-wait. If the cost of issuing a boil-water advisory is less than 13.92 cents per person per day, the optimal decision is to issue the boil-water advisory immediately. CONCLUSIONS: Decisions based on surveillance data that are suggestive but not conclusive about the existence of a disease outbreak can be modeled.

AB - OBJECTIVE: Study the decision to issue a boil-water advisory in response to a spike in sales of diarrhea remedies or wait 72 hours for the results of definitive testing of water and people. METHODS: Decision analysis. RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the optimal decision is test-and-wait. If the cost of issuing a boil-water advisory is less than 13.92 cents per person per day, the optimal decision is to issue the boil-water advisory immediately. CONCLUSIONS: Decisions based on surveillance data that are suggestive but not conclusive about the existence of a disease outbreak can be modeled.

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JF - AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings / AMIA Symposium. AMIA Symposium

ER -

Issue a boil-water advisory or wait for definitive information? A decision analysis.

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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