Impact of demographic transformation on future rice farming in Asia

Humnath Bhandari, Ashok Mishra

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

We examine the depth and breadth of ongoing demographic transformation in Asia and draw ramifications on future rice farming using long-run time-series data from 17 major rice-growing countries in Asia. We found that Asia is undergoing declining trends in women fertility, child mortality, family size, population growth, the proportion of the agricultural population, and involvement of youth in agriculture. On the other hand, rural out-migration, aging of the farming population, and urbanization show increasing trends. These emerging trends will have far-reaching impacts on future rice farming mediated through labor market, rice market, rice demand, and rice supply. Policymakers and scientists must anticipate more rapid demographic transformation in the future and implement necessary technological, institutional, policy, and strategic solutions to manage or cope with future demographic transformation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)125-132
Number of pages8
JournalOutlook on Agriculture
Volume47
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2018
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

demographic statistics
rice
farming systems
child mortality
labor market
family size
urbanization
Asia
fertility
time series analysis
population growth
time series
agriculture
markets
market
trend

Keywords

  • Asia
  • Demography
  • Food security
  • Rice farming
  • Transformation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology
  • Animal Science and Zoology
  • Agronomy and Crop Science

Cite this

Impact of demographic transformation on future rice farming in Asia. / Bhandari, Humnath; Mishra, Ashok.

In: Outlook on Agriculture, Vol. 47, No. 2, 01.01.2018, p. 125-132.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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