Future visioning of local climate change: A framework for community engagement and planning with scenarios and visualisation

Stephen R J Sheppard, Alison Shaw, David Flanders, Sarah Burch, Arnim Wiek, Jeff Carmichael, John Robinson, Stewart Cohen

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    176 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    There is an urgent need for meaningful information and effective public processes at the local level to build awareness, capacity, and agency on climate change, and support planning and decision-making. This paper describes a conceptual framework to meet these requirements by generating alternative, coherent, holistic climate change scenarios and visualizations at the local scale, in collaboration with local stakeholders and scientists. The framework provides a template for a process to integrate emission scenarios with both mitigation and adaptation strategies, and to link local manifestations of impacts and responses with global climate change scenarios. The article outlines the empirical application of this framework in the Local Climate Change Visioning Project in British Columbia, Canada. The project collaboratively localized, spatialized, and visualized possible climate change effects and community responses in the community's 'backyards'. The article concludes with lessons learned and suggested principles for future visioning efforts to engage communities in possible policy and behavioural choices.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)400-412
    Number of pages13
    JournalFutures
    Volume43
    Issue number4
    DOIs
    StatePublished - May 2011

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Business and International Management
    • Development
    • Sociology and Political Science

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