Foreclosures and crime: A city-level analysis in Southern California of a dynamic process

John R. Hipp, Alyssa Chamberlain

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    17 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    Although a growing body of research has examined and found a positive relationship between neighborhood crime and home foreclosures, some research suggests this relationship may not hold in all cities. This study uses city-level data to assess the relationship between foreclosures and crime by estimating longitudinal models with lags for monthly foreclosure and crime data in 128 cities from 1996 to 2011 in Southern California. We test whether these effects are stronger in cities with a combination of high economic inequality and high economic segregation; and whether they are stronger in cities with high racial/ethnic heterogeneity and high racial segregation. One month, and cumulative three month, six month, and 12-month lags of foreclosures are found to increase city level crime for all crimes except motor vehicle theft. The effect of foreclosures on these crime types is stronger in cities with simultaneously high levels of inequality but low levels of economic segregation. The effect of foreclosures on aggravated assault, robbery, and burglary is stronger in cities with simultaneously high levels of racial heterogeneity and low levels of racial segregation. On the other hand, foreclosures had a stronger effect on larceny and motor vehicle theft when they occurred in a city with simultaneously high levels of racial heterogeneity and high levels of racial segregation. There is evidence that the foreclosure crisis had large scale impacts on cities, leading to higher crime rates in cities hit harder by foreclosures. Nonetheless, the economic and racial characteristics of the city altered this effect.

    Original languageEnglish (US)
    Pages (from-to)219-232
    Number of pages14
    JournalSocial Science Research
    Volume51
    DOIs
    StatePublished - May 1 2015

    Keywords

    • Cities
    • Crime
    • Foreclosures
    • Segregation
    • Social capital
    • Social distance

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Education
    • Sociology and Political Science

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