TY - JOUR
T1 - Estudio de las percepciones de los agricultores sobre el agotamiento de sus recursos de aguas subterráneas mediante el análisis de trayectos
T2 - consecuencias para la sobreexplotación de las aguas subterráneas y la diversificación de los beneficios
AU - Hashemi, Seyyed Mahmoud
AU - Kinzig, Ann
AU - Abbott, Joshua K.
AU - Eakin, Hallie
AU - Sedaghat, Reza
N1 - Funding Information:
Helpful comments on this paper were received by Charles Perrings, Christopher Scott, and the journal editor and reviewers. Part of the questionnaire used in this study was developed in collaboration with Mohammad Reza Farzaneh and Ali Bagheri; they, along with the Iran Water Policy Research Institute, were also very helpful with the data collection. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations, including UNDP, or the UN member States.
Funding Information:
The first author of this paper acknowledges the financial supports received from the UNDP Asia–Pacific Human Development Academic Fellowship. Acknowledgements
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
PY - 2020/9/1
Y1 - 2020/9/1
N2 - Iran is among the world’s top five groundwater exploiters and, similar to many countries in the world, aquifers in Iran have been rapidly depleted over the past decades primarily as a result of groundwater use by farmers. This research was conducted to explore whether the perceptions of pistachio growers in Rafsanjan Plain, Iran (a global center for pistachio production), on the depleting groundwater resources have led to the conservation of the resources and/or income diversification. In addition, the association between these perceptions and factors representing knowledge of growers was examined. To this end, two path models were developed and tested using path analysis and logistic regression. The results indicate that growers who had more pessimistic perceptions of the groundwater resources in Rafsanjan were more likely to increase groundwater extraction; however, these growers were also more likely to seek external employment (income diversification). The final path models suggest attitudes toward groundwater conservation were the most important determinants of pumping behavior, while perceptions of the state of the groundwater were the most important determinants of income diversification. Whether Iranian policies to increase awareness of falling water tables could succeed in securing water conservation would depend on the ‘balance’ of these two forces—an increase in pumping with increased pessimism or a potential decrease in pumping through income diversification. The paper concludes with a discussion on the implications of the results for interventions aimed at changing not only the groundwater users’ decisions about groundwater use, but also their decisions about income diversification.
AB - Iran is among the world’s top five groundwater exploiters and, similar to many countries in the world, aquifers in Iran have been rapidly depleted over the past decades primarily as a result of groundwater use by farmers. This research was conducted to explore whether the perceptions of pistachio growers in Rafsanjan Plain, Iran (a global center for pistachio production), on the depleting groundwater resources have led to the conservation of the resources and/or income diversification. In addition, the association between these perceptions and factors representing knowledge of growers was examined. To this end, two path models were developed and tested using path analysis and logistic regression. The results indicate that growers who had more pessimistic perceptions of the groundwater resources in Rafsanjan were more likely to increase groundwater extraction; however, these growers were also more likely to seek external employment (income diversification). The final path models suggest attitudes toward groundwater conservation were the most important determinants of pumping behavior, while perceptions of the state of the groundwater were the most important determinants of income diversification. Whether Iranian policies to increase awareness of falling water tables could succeed in securing water conservation would depend on the ‘balance’ of these two forces—an increase in pumping with increased pessimism or a potential decrease in pumping through income diversification. The paper concludes with a discussion on the implications of the results for interventions aimed at changing not only the groundwater users’ decisions about groundwater use, but also their decisions about income diversification.
KW - Common-pool resources
KW - Groundwater management
KW - Income diversification
KW - Iran
KW - Socio-economic aspects
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85086364662&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85086364662&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10040-020-02190-2
DO - 10.1007/s10040-020-02190-2
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85086364662
SN - 1431-2174
VL - 28
SP - 1975
EP - 1991
JO - Hydrogeology Journal
JF - Hydrogeology Journal
IS - 6
ER -