Development of a seasonal forecast model for Kuwait winter precipitation

H. A. Nasrallah, Robert Balling, Nancy Selover, R. S. Vose

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

5 Scopus citations

Abstract

Winter rainfall in Kuwait is important to a variety of activities in the region, and accurate forecasts a season in advance would serve many useful functions. In this investigation, we develop a statistical forecast model that explains over 70% of the variance in Kuwait winter precipitation. Regional sea surface temperatures and several teleconnection indices provide the key predictor variables. These six variables are all well documented in terms of their contributions to moisture, instability, and a triggering mechanism in the atmospheric circulation. The predictor variables are all easily obtained making the model highly operational.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)233-242
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of Arid Environments
Volume48
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2001

    Fingerprint

Keywords

  • Kuwait
  • Winter precipitation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
  • Ecology
  • Earth-Surface Processes

Cite this