Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies

Narayani Barve, Alvin J. Bonilla, Julia Brandes, J. Christopher Brown, Nathaniel Brunsell, Ferdouz V. Cochran, Rebecca J. Crosthwait, Jodi Gentry, Laci M. Gerhart, Trish Jackson, Anna J. Kern, Karen S. Oberhauser, Hannah L. Owens, A. Townsend Peterson, Alexis S. Reed, Jorge Soberón, Adam D. Sundberg, Linda M. Williams

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus) have a unique yearly life cycle, in which successive generations breed and move northward from the southern USA in spring to the northern US and southern Canada by late summer; they overwinter in extremely restricted areas in central Mexico and along the California coast. Mexican overwintering populations have experienced significant mortality events recently, which have been hypothesized as increasing in frequency owing to climate change. Here, we test the hypothesis of climate-change causation of these mortality events, at least in part, finding significant local weather trends toward conditions lethal for monarch survival. We use ecological niche estimates and future climate projections to estimate future overwintering distributions; results anticipate dramatic reductions in suitability of present overwintering areas, and serious implications for local human economies.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)817-824
Number of pages8
JournalRevista Mexicana de Biodiversidad
Volume83
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2012
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Danaus plexippus
mass mortality
overwintering
butterfly
climate change
mortality
life cycle (organisms)
niches
life cycle
weather
Mexico
Canada
breeds
climate
coasts
coast
summer
testing

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Lethal temperature
  • Monarch butterfly
  • Mortality
  • Winter

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

Cite this

Barve, N., Bonilla, A. J., Brandes, J., Brown, J. C., Brunsell, N., Cochran, F. V., ... Williams, L. M. (2012). Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies. Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad, 83(3), 817-824. https://doi.org/10.7550/rmb.26460

Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies. / Barve, Narayani; Bonilla, Alvin J.; Brandes, Julia; Brown, J. Christopher; Brunsell, Nathaniel; Cochran, Ferdouz V.; Crosthwait, Rebecca J.; Gentry, Jodi; Gerhart, Laci M.; Jackson, Trish; Kern, Anna J.; Oberhauser, Karen S.; Owens, Hannah L.; Peterson, A. Townsend; Reed, Alexis S.; Soberón, Jorge; Sundberg, Adam D.; Williams, Linda M.

In: Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad, Vol. 83, No. 3, 09.2012, p. 817-824.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Barve, N, Bonilla, AJ, Brandes, J, Brown, JC, Brunsell, N, Cochran, FV, Crosthwait, RJ, Gentry, J, Gerhart, LM, Jackson, T, Kern, AJ, Oberhauser, KS, Owens, HL, Peterson, AT, Reed, AS, Soberón, J, Sundberg, AD & Williams, LM 2012, 'Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies', Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad, vol. 83, no. 3, pp. 817-824. https://doi.org/10.7550/rmb.26460
Barve N, Bonilla AJ, Brandes J, Brown JC, Brunsell N, Cochran FV et al. Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies. Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad. 2012 Sep;83(3):817-824. https://doi.org/10.7550/rmb.26460
Barve, Narayani ; Bonilla, Alvin J. ; Brandes, Julia ; Brown, J. Christopher ; Brunsell, Nathaniel ; Cochran, Ferdouz V. ; Crosthwait, Rebecca J. ; Gentry, Jodi ; Gerhart, Laci M. ; Jackson, Trish ; Kern, Anna J. ; Oberhauser, Karen S. ; Owens, Hannah L. ; Peterson, A. Townsend ; Reed, Alexis S. ; Soberón, Jorge ; Sundberg, Adam D. ; Williams, Linda M. / Climate-change and mass mortality events in overwintering monarch butterflies. In: Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad. 2012 ; Vol. 83, No. 3. pp. 817-824.
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