Abstract
We use a stochastic branching process to describe the beginning of a disease outbreak. Unlike compartmental models, if the basic reproduction number is greater than one there may be a minor outbreak or a major epidemic with a probability depending on the nature of the contact network. We use a network approach to determine the distribution of outbreak and epidemic sizes.
Original language | English (US) |
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Title of host publication | Mathematical Epidemiology |
Publisher | Springer Verlag |
Pages | 133-146 |
Number of pages | 14 |
ISBN (Print) | 9783540789109 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 2008 |
Publication series
Name | Lecture Notes in Mathematics |
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Volume | 1945 |
ISSN (Print) | 0075-8434 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Algebra and Number Theory