An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation

Buyung Agusdinata, V. A W J Marchau, W. E. Walker

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Intelligent Speed Adaptation (ISA) could improve road traffic safety significantly. Large scale implementation of ISA, however, is hampered by uncertainties, such as the level of user acceptance, reliability of the technology, unexpected costs, etc. In this paper we suggest an adaptive policymaking approach that would enable ISA implementation to proceed despite these uncertainties. We propose five steps: (i) specifying the policy problem, (ii) assembling a basic policy, (iii) specifying the rest of the policy, (iv) learning from real world experience with the policy, and (v) changing the implemented policy. The adaptive approach is supported by exploratory analysis. Using a simple road safety model, the analysis involves making computational experiments across multiple plausible states of the system and multiple scenarios. We demonstrate how to use the insights from the exploratory analysis to design a basic policy and how to gain knowledge over time about the behavior of the system in order to resolve some of the uncertainties. By monitoring the change in mean speed to detect changes in the level of acceptance, the policy can be adapted to unfolding events. For example, for two target groups of drivers, young and middleaged ones, a policy that targets more young drivers with mandatory ISA is shown to be robust.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationIntelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005
Pages1585-1600
Number of pages16
Volume3
StatePublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes
Event12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005 - San Francisco, CA, United States
Duration: Nov 6 2005Nov 10 2005

Other

Other12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005
CountryUnited States
CitySan Francisco, CA
Period11/6/0511/10/05

Fingerprint

uncertainty
acceptance
driver
traffic safety
target group
road traffic
road
monitoring
scenario
event
Monitoring
experiment
costs
learning
Uncertainty
Costs
experience
Experiments
time

Keywords

  • Adaptive policy
  • Exploratory analysis
  • Intelligent speed adaptation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Transportation
  • Automotive Engineering
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science Applications

Cite this

Agusdinata, B., Marchau, V. A. W. J., & Walker, W. E. (2009). An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation. In Intelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005 (Vol. 3, pp. 1585-1600)

An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation. / Agusdinata, Buyung; Marchau, V. A W J; Walker, W. E.

Intelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005. Vol. 3 2009. p. 1585-1600.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Agusdinata, B, Marchau, VAWJ & Walker, WE 2009, An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation. in Intelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005. vol. 3, pp. 1585-1600, 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005, San Francisco, CA, United States, 11/6/05.
Agusdinata B, Marchau VAWJ, Walker WE. An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation. In Intelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005. Vol. 3. 2009. p. 1585-1600
Agusdinata, Buyung ; Marchau, V. A W J ; Walker, W. E. / An adaptive policymaking approach for implementing intelligent speed adaptation. Intelligent Transportation Society of America - 12th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems 2005. Vol. 3 2009. pp. 1585-1600
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