Abstract
A revised dynamic risk and reliability model using conditional loading and resistance distributions is proposed and compared to a former model developed by Tung and Mays. The new dynamic risk model is shown to more accurately reflect the overall risk (probability of failure considering both hydrologic and hydraulic uncertainties) of a hydraulic structure. This dynamic risk model is shown to have a close correspondence to nonparametric methods for evaluating the exceedance probability of a hyrologic evnt. An example for flood levee design is presented showing the effect of hydraulic uncertainty on the overall risk determination. (A)
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Unknown Host Publication Title |
| Publisher | Am. Soc. Civ. Engrs |
| Edition | (Cambridge, U.S.A.: Aug. 9-12, 1983) |
| ISBN (Print) | 0872623718, 9780872623712 |
| State | Published - Jan 1 1983 |
| Externally published | Yes |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Engineering(all)
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Cite this
Lee, H. L., & Mays, L. (1983). Advances in risk and reliability analysis for hydraulic structures. In Unknown Host Publication Title ((Cambridge, U.S.A.: Aug. 9-12, 1983) ed.). Am. Soc. Civ. Engrs.