A Longitudinal Assessment of the Impact of Foreclosure on Neighborhood Crime

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Abstract

Objectives: To examine possible effects of housing foreclosure on neighborhood levels of crime and to assess temporal lags in the impact of foreclosure on neighborhood levels of crime. Methods: Longitudinal data from Glendale, Arizona, a city at the epicenter of the nation's foreclosure problem. The authors rely on four data sources: (1) foreclosure data, (2) computeraided dispatch (CAD)/police records management system (RMS) data, (3) U.S. census and census estimate data, and (4) land use data. Results: Foreclosure has a short-term impact, typically no more than 3 months, on total crime, property crime, and violent crime, and no more than 4 months for drug crime. Conclusions: Foreclosures do not have a long-term effect on crime in general, and have different, though modest effects on different types of crime. The relationship between foreclosure and crime is not linear in nature but rather is characterized by a temporal, short-term flux in crime.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)359-389
Number of pages31
JournalJournal of Research in Crime and Delinquency
Volume50
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2013

Keywords

  • crime
  • foreclosure
  • longitudinal

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Social Psychology

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