Potential Impacts of Sulfite and Mercury Pollution on Recreation Value of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness Potential Impacts of Sulfite and Mercury Pollution on Recreation Value of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness To explore this potential impact, we propose to estimate the potential loss in recreation value of a mine tailings spill that contaminates the BWCA Wilderness. Research along this line was initiated by Octavio Valdez-Lafarga and Jeffrey Englin in 2015. They used panel data of U.S. ZIP code trip counts from 1999-2013 of day trip recreationists visiting the BWCA. The data include over 20 million observations of trips to 70 different entry points. The authors estimated a demand system for recreation visits and estimated consumer surplus ($/trip), recreation value loss, for different sites with a mean of about $100 per trip. We propose to update this recreational demand system for the period up to 2020 and account for additional water-associated recreational activities by including overnight canoeists and day and overnight motor-powered trips. These site-specific estimates will be combined with hydrological models that map the extent of catastrophic mine spills to estimate the loss of recreation value associated with potential spills. These estimates would help quantify the risks of mining development in proximity to the BWCA.
|Effective start/end date||8/12/22 → 9/30/24|
- USDA: Forest Service (FS): $200,000.00
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