Description

A comprehensive projection of future heat-health impacts in Arizona requires information about how the climate will change as a result of global-scale greenhouse-gas forcing, as well as regional urbanization and land use/land change practices. Projections also require information about population and demographic changes, intra- and inter-annual variability in sensitivity to heat, the role of different exposure variables, and the sensitivity of different health outcomes (e.g., cardiovascular vs. respiratory-related hospitalizations).

The research team will lay the groundwork for a fully detailed quantitative assessment of current heat-health impacts in the state and vulnerable populations. A model for developing a fully comprehensive projection of future heat-related mortality will be built. Past and ongoing research will be combined with new analyses based on statewide data to generate a quantitative projection and highlight the most important areas for future research. This type of analysis will inform the intervention measures that might be most effective in reducing unwanted heat-health impacts.
StatusFinished
Effective start/end date5/1/142/28/17

Funding

  • HHS: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC): $170,000.00

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health impact
urbanization
greenhouse gas
land use
mortality
climate change